South Caucasus

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Georgia: At a crossroads

The Georgian government’s ‘shift’ toward Russia is largely based on pragmatism – Georgia is firmly in Russia’s sphere of influence and cannot escape this geographic reality. While the political elite is connected to Russia, the population is largely pro-Western and the EU is pushing Georgia to ‘pick a side’, forcing the state into a difficult balancing act. Conflict over Abkhazia and South Ossetia seems unlikely for now but the question of EU candidacy threatens the government’s leadership and could lead to unrest.